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Crown Green Handicap

Philip McGunigall

Team: Oxton Conservative ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

849

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

10

Matches Played

5

Wins

5

Losses

50%

Win Rate

7.2

Avg Win Margin

6.6

Avg Loss Margin

4-3

Home Record

1-2

Away Record

7%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
10 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/22/2026

Only 10 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 10 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

3 Jun1 Jul5 Jul26 Jul21 Jul22 Jun-125811

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.2
score-0.13→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.6
score+0.23→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
809
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.019
Sample Size Confidence
7%(10/39 matches)
Rating991 → shrunk 999→ adjusted 849
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)849
Recency Blend13% (10 recent matches)
Final Rating849
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W5L10 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Conservative Club2024–2026League 2105550%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/22/2026David PickenH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
8/22/2025Mike LockwoodH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Brian DentonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Mike SmethurstA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Tom RobertsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/5/2024Roy LangleyA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
7/1/2024Phil BlackA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2024Sue SmithH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/3/2024Margie RatcliffH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
4/22/2024Brian FrancisH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWWLL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LWWLLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
David Picken0110%6/22/2026
Mike Lockwood101100%8/22/2025
Brian Denton101100%7/21/2025
Mike Smethurst0110%7/18/2025
Tom Roberts0110%7/26/2024
Roy Langley101100%7/5/2024
Phil Black0110%7/1/2024
Sue Smith101100%6/28/2024
Margie Ratcliff101100%6/3/2024
Brian Francis0110%4/22/2024
Biggest Win
Mike Lockwood (+17)8/22/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Brian Francis (-14)4/22/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 40%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
80910 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-550% win rate
League 250%
5W·5L·10 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2024

Latest

Jun 22, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

3.3 (10 total)

Seasons

202420252026